If someone gave me an assignment to sugarcoat the election results, I'd have to hide in a corner and pretend I'm too sick to write today.
There's no way to spin the election results as anything but a disaster for Republicans and, in the longer term, for the economy. China had some big victories last night as well, and I will get to them in a different post.
But even with all the horrific news, one bright spot stands out right now: when biological reality was on the ballot, it won. And while not all the ballots have been counted yet, it could turn out that in every ballot measure where the sole question was whether boys could play in girls' sports, the girls won. There were also measures to ban gender procedures for minors, and those look set to win approval as well.
Arizona Proposition 318: “Protect Girls’ Sports in Arizona Act” has PASSED The Arizona proposition would broaden and refine the 2022 state sports law that already bars cross-sex participation into girls and women’s sports at every public school and college, and at private schools that compete against them. The proposition would more clearly define sex—as sex registered on a person’s original birth certificate—and would extend the restrictions to cover athletic associations and facilities, including sports-related locker rooms and restrooms. It would also broaden who has a right to sue under the law to include any athlete, not just any student. Check the link in the quote tweet for the full rundown:
— Benjamin Ryan (@benryanwriter) November 4, 2026
Arizona Proposition 318: “Protect Girls’ Sports in Arizona Act” has PASSED
The Arizona proposition would broaden and refine the 2022 state sports law that already bars cross-sex participation into girls and women’s sports at every public school and college, and at private schools that compete against them. The proposition would more clearly define sex—as sex registered on a person’s original birth certificate—and would extend the restrictions to cover athletic associations and facilities, including sports-related locker rooms and restrooms. It would also broaden who has a right to sue under the law to include any athlete, not just any student.
Four states had ballot measures on the issue, and not all were red states. You could expect, or not be surprised, by victories in Arizona and Nebraska, but in both Washington and Colorado, similar measures look almost certain to pass as well.
Colorado's measures are still considered too close to call, but at the moment measures to ban gender surgeries for minors and boys in girls' sports are leading by a decent margin. Colorado is famously liberal on such things, so this is encouraging, should the results hold.
Voters in four states considered measures Tuesday restricting transgender students’ participation in school sports. Nebraska approved a ban on male students competing in girls’ sports, while Arizona expanded existing restrictions to cover intramural sports and private leagues. https://t.co/oqawE4kLIU
— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) November 4, 2026
The one place where reality was on the ballot and lost was in Missouri, and there was a simple reason for that: abortion was also on the same ballot and in the same measure, and it turns out that women value abortion until birth more than they value their daughters.
The only state in which a conservative view of women’s sports - that athletes born male yet identify as trans shouldn’t be allowed to compete against females - lost was in MO, where it was paired w/ a limit on abortion. CO (!) even voted to limit sex change surgeries for minors. https://t.co/AXoi4SXMZT
— Patrick T. Brown (@PTBwrites) November 4, 2026
Abortion until birth is now the defining moral issue of our time, and, it seems, that the Lindsey Clancy crowd is winning that fight handily.
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